BET_YESmedium confidencePaper action
Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?
18.0%YES
Market 34%Agent 52%
Market underweights recent CPI softening. Fed has signaled openness to cuts if inflation holds below 2.8%.
Circle Agent Stack × Arc Testnet
Financial intelligence for prediction markets.
Edged scans live Polymarket order books, estimates fair odds, explains its thesis, sizes exposure with Kelly, and settles test USDC through Circle developer-controlled wallets.
Circle Wallet
Loading Arc Wallet
Checking the agent treasury and settlement rail.
Treasury$100.00Circle funded
Committed$8.30Kelly sized
Markets—live scan
Edges—above filter
Actions—orders or transfers
Current Decision
BET YES
Market underweights recent CPI softening. Fed has signaled openness to cuts if inflation holds below 2.8%.
Edge18.0%YES
Proof of Action
Paper execution active
Switch PAPER_TRADING=false to send capped Arc Testnet USDC transfers.
DestinationNot connected
ExecutionPaper
Amount1 USDC cap
Autonomous Watch Mode
Watch mode is paused
Start watch mode to let Edged scan on a timer and record traceable autonomous runs.
Recent runs0
Latest source—
Opportunity Book
3 Markets Under Review
BET_NOmedium confidencePaper action
Will Bitcoin reach $120K before July 2026?
17.0%NO
Market 61%Agent 44%
Market overweights ETF inflows. High funding rates on perps signal crowded longs.
PASSlow confidence
Will ETH ETF net inflows exceed $1B in May 2026?
FairPASS
Market 48%Agent 51%
Market is close to fair value. Edge is below the agent threshold.